The Can't List

Things TradePolaris will never do.

Some are impossible. Some are bad ideas. We built everything else.

The list

Nine things it refuses to do.

Each refusal is a promise about how your numbers are made.

Tell you tomorrow's close.

Nobody can. It shows you how your book behaves when the market moves instead.

Tell you that you were right.

It runs the test. Sometimes that's the same thing. Often it isn't.

Let you rerun until it passes.

Every retry raises the overfitting bar. The fourth-try winner didn't win.

Fill you at the price you wished for.

Signals fill at the next bar's open, never the close you signaled on.

Grade you on years you already saw.

Backtests are scored only on data the strategy never trained on.

Pull a number out of thin air.

Data-backed Vega answers come with the chart, the source and the query behind them.

Forget how a figure was made.

Every figure keeps the method and data version behind it.

Let your code phone home.

Strategies run sealed, with no network and no secrets.

Touch your money.

We never place an order and never hold a dollar. That's your broker's job.

PROPHET, 1987

The terminal that knew tomorrow.

It printed the next day's close on a dot-matrix printer. We looked into building it. It can't be done, by anyone.

Go on

See what your book does in a bad year.

Add your holdings, then run them through past crises like 2008, the 2020 crash and the 2022 rate selloff, or set a shock of your own.

Systematic research software from Kurtosis, Inc. Not investment advice. Backtested results are hypothetical. See the disclaimer.